I am putting this on record because most forecasts are graded in private, and privately is where they get quietly adjusted.

The claim By the end of 2029, the entry-level professional role will no longer exist as a single job in at least three of the five sectors I track. It will split into supervised apprenticeship work and automated workflow supervision, with very little in between.

The four indicators I will be graded on One: the share of entry-level postings that name a training pathway, versus a task list. Two: median time-to-first-supervisory-duties, currently 3.4 years. Three: the ratio of graduate hires to workflow-tooling hires at firms above 500 staff. Four: the number of professional bodies that restructure their qualifying requirements.

Baseline, dated Every indicator is anchored to Q3 2026 data, published so that the starting line cannot move later.

What would prove me wrong If graduate hiring recovers above its 2019 share while tooling spend keeps rising, the unbundling story is wrong, and I will say so here with the same prominence.